Stern - Incubator

World wheat prices have fallen: Soft -5.37%, Hard in Kansas -6.28%, Hard in Minneapolis -3.97%. The corn contract decreased. The price of rice has risen. In Russia, wheat and corn have become cheaper, while rice has increased. The wheat index in Russia has risen. Facts about the grain market in the Russian Federation, grain purchases, and crop planting. Increase in grain export duties in Russia. In Belarus and Kazakhstan, the planting of new crops has begun. In Ukraine, the planting of spring crops has begun.

In the Tambov region, spring field work has begun. According to the "Online Tambov.ru" portal, the Mordovian and Tambov municipal districts were the first to start sowing spring crops: barley, peas, and grass. This year, the sowing started earlier than last year. It is planned to increase the sowing area to 1.9 million hectares by 2025. The quality of seeds is guaranteed to be at a high level.

According to forecasts, the area of agricultural crops will increase by 3.6% to 213.4 thousand hectares. Corn will occupy 131.6 thousand hectares, exceeding last year's level by 2.7%.

In 2024, the yield in Kabardino-Balkaria reached 55 c/ha, with a total harvest volume of over 1.1 million tons.

In Brazil, the soybean harvest is expected to reach a record level of 169 million tonnes, despite a reduced forecast due to drought in the state of Rio Grande do Sul. Cultivating soybeans on 48.1 million hectares has led to a revival in productivity. The local agency Emater has lowered its soybean production forecast in the drought-affected state to 15.1 million tonnes.

Analysts have raised the forecast for wheat exports in March to 1.85 million tons. Wheat prices fell under pressure from favorable rain forecasts in Russia and the United States. Internal wheat prices remained practically unchanged.

President of the Russian Federation has announced the consideration of the Turkish leader's initiative to provide free flour made from Russian grain to countries in need. Putin noted the expansion of cooperation with Turkey in agriculture and the review of this idea.

The Russian authorities are expanding programs for the development of agricultural machinery and veterinary drugs. The state will allocate about 15.8 billion rubles for agricultural machinery and over 4.4 billion for veterinary drugs. The plan includes creating 27 new types of machinery and meeting 70% of the livestock industry's demand with domestic drugs by 2030.

Company "Demetra-Holding" plans to complete the "Auto1500" project in 2025, increasing the grain transshipment by 1.5 million tons.

"Novorossiysk Grain Terminal" is going to increase the total volume of transshipment to 11 million tons of cargo in 2026, by building additional berths and capacities.

In 2024, the company transshipped 7.2 million tons of agricultural goods.

In Southern Kazakhstan, the sowing season has begun. In the Turkestan region, 14 thousand hectares of land out of 896 thousand hectares allocated for crops have been sown. 338 thousand hectares are reserved for cereals and 72.7 thousand hectares for oilseeds. 17.5 thousand units of machinery are involved in the work.

The IMF has warned of a potential 10-15% increase in grain prices due to the completion of the Black Sea deal, through which 33 million tons of grain were exported from Ukraine. The termination of the deal could lead to a rise in food prices due to increased demand.

Carriers recommend that shippers choose supported destinations, including ports in Russia and the Baltic countries. An excess of grain carriers and closed wagons leads to a slowing down of loading caused by long holidays. In 2025, the volumes of grain transportation by rail have increased, especially exports. Freight carriers urge to intensify deliveries.

The Ministry of Industry and Trade and the Ministry of Economic Development support the indexing of domestic prices for fertilizers, although the Ministry of Agriculture is against it. They propose to increase prices in line with inflation. Manufacturers asked for a price increase of 10-15%, but the decision will be made by summer.